The Track announcer leans into his mic: “… and at the wire, it’s the Liberals by seven lengths, the Conservatives cross, and NDP has fallen back. Liberals win and Conservatives place.”
Here are the final polling numbers by the country’s pollsters, compiled and recorded out on Sunday evening. Aside from the “national horserace”, some pollsters converted their numbers into seat projects…
CBC by Eric Grenier – Liberals 37.2, Conservatives 30.9 and NDP 21.7 to project the seat count: a minority Liberal government with 146, Conservatives 118 and NDP 66
Nik Nanos – Liberals 39.1, Conservatives 30.5 and NDP 19.7
EKOS – Liberals 35.8, Conservatives 31.9 and NDP 20.4
Ipsos – Liberals 38, Conservatives 31 and NDP 22
Leger – Liberals 38, Conservatives 30 and NDP 22
Forum Research – Liberals at 40, Conservatives 30, NDP 20 for a seat projection of a Liberal majority with 171 seats, Conservatives 109 and NDP with 46 (BQ to win 11 and Green 1).
Nik Nanos also had some interesting numbers on Canadians’ attitudes:
- On Leadership – Asked who they preferred as Prime Minister 35.5% said Trudeau, 29.1% said Harper, 18.9% said Mulcair, 5.2% said May, 1.8% said Duceppe and 9.6% of Canadians were unsure.
- On Time for a Change – The proportion of Canadians who think it is time for a change on the closing weekend of the election rose from 67 to 71 percent. The appetite for change is stronger among women (76 per cent) compared to men (67 per cent).
- On Election Outcome Most Satisfying – The election outcome most frequently cited as causing satisfaction for voters was a Liberal majority (28 per cent) followed by a Conservative majority (21 per cent) and a NDP majority (19 per cent).
See more at Nanos Research.
(Ed. – For the record , the final numbers were: Liberals 39.5, Conservatives 31.9, NDP 19.7 and the seat count in the majority government: Liberals 184, Conservatives 99 and NDP 44 – BQ 10 and Green 1)