{"id":7404,"date":"2015-10-22T18:16:47","date_gmt":"2015-10-22T22:16:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/?p=7404"},"modified":"2019-10-22T14:50:17","modified_gmt":"2019-10-22T18:50:17","slug":"of-the-game-changer-prediction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/?p=7404","title":{"rendered":"Of \u201cthe game-changer\u201d prediction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright size-medium wp-image-7302\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Harper_02-200x300.jpg\" alt=\"Harper_02\" width=\"200\" height=\"300\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Harper_02-200x300.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/10\/Harper_02.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>At the end of August, early on in the election campaign, <em>By George Journal<\/em> editor Chris George made the prediction that in the last 10 days of the campaign, Prime Minister Stephen Harper would make a bold move. To snatch victory from the jaws of defeat, it was predicted that Harper would announce his impending resignation. Should Canadians give the Conservatives a majority mandate, he would promise to step down in Fall 2017. By promising not to fulfill a full four year term, Harper would win over those Canadians wavering away from the Conservatives, unable to vote again for his leadership.<\/p>\n<p>In that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/?p=6968\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><em>By George<\/em> post<\/a>, it was boldly stated that this move would alter the outcome of the election:<\/p>\n<p><em>&#8220;PM Stephen Harper\u2019s announcement in the late stages of the campaign will be that game-changer that will determine this election vote.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Well, the predicted turn of events did not materialize and the 42nd electoral history was made of other stuff. The <em>By George<\/em> soothsaying rubbish was swept away to the waste-bin&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>But wait. In post-election commentary from Conservative campaign operatives, it has been revealed that this strategic move was indeed in play! In a <em>Toronto Star<\/em> article earlier this week &#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thestar.com\/news\/federal-election\/2015\/10\/20\/analysis-tories-considered-telling-voters-that-stephen-harper-would-not-seek-re-election.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Tories considered telling voters that Stephen Harper would not seek re-election<\/a> \u2013 we learn that this gambit was being seriously considered.<\/p>\n<p><em>In the final days before the election, Prime Minister Stephen Harper\u2019s top campaign organizers floated the idea of telling voters he would not seek another term if he won, the Star has learned.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Sources say Harper\u2019s strategists urged using British Prime Minister David Cameron\u2019s successful \u201clame-duck\u201d move to salvage a Conservative government, but realized it was too late for such a Hail Mary pass.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cIt was not Harper\u2019s record or his policies \u2014 it\u2019s just that people hated Harper and we saw it happening early,\u201d said one insider, who spoke on condition of anonymity in order to discuss internal campaign machinations.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Because the Tories\u2019 research was confirming that fear, they considered replicating Cameron\u2019s bold gambit of earlier this year when he promised to serve only a final five-year term.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>But it soon became clear to those who trial-ballooned the idea to a handful of trusted party insiders and candidates that the tactic would backfire over questions about who would be Harper\u2019s successor.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cThe instant response was, \u2018Well who am I voting for then? Am I voting for Jason Kenney because then I\u2019m definitely not voting Conservative and I\u2019m definitely not supporting your campaign,\u2019 \u201d said another Conservative source who also spoke on condition of anonymity.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Now, the armchair campaign strategist gets the better of us at <em>By George<\/em> and we are now left to amuse ourselves by asking a few rhetorical questions like:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Had this move been contemplated as an option early on and then executed for Thanksgiving Weekend, could it have achieved the desired results?<\/li>\n<li>And (acknowledging that hindsight is 20-20) would this gambit not have been better than running the niqab and snitch line announcements in the final week?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Of course this all assumes that Stephen Harper would have entertained his retirement announcement in the first place\u2026 many doubt his ego would have allowed such a move.<\/p>\n<p>But, you have to wonder, would this have made <em>the<\/em> difference?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>At the end of August, early on in the election campaign, By George Journal editor Chris George made the prediction that in the last 10 days of the campaign, Prime Minister Stephen Harper would make a bold move. To snatch victory from the jaws of defeat, it was predicted that Harper would announce his impending&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[30],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7404"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7404"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7404\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10669,"href":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7404\/revisions\/10669"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7404"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7404"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bygeorgejournal.ca\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7404"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}